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Avigen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGN) has received an offer from MediciNova, Inc. (NASDAQ:MNOV), a biopharmaceutical company that is publicly traded on both the Nasdaq Global Market and the Hercules Market of the Osaka Securities Exchange (Code Number: 4875).

We’ve been following AVGN (see earlier posts here, here, here and here) because it’s a net cash stock (i.e. it’s trading at less than the value of its cash after deducting all liabilities) and it has a specialist biotechnology activist fund Biotechnology Value Fund (BVF) pushing it to liquidate and return its cash to shareholders. We esimate AVGN’s net cash value at $43.5M or $1.46 per share.

According to this filing, MNOV proposes to offer AVGN stockholders a pro rata portion of 1.75M shares of MNOV and a convertible security representing AVGN’s Net Cash Assets,” which MNOV defines as AVGN’s cash remaining after it is wound up less $7M paid to be paid to MNOV. The convertible security issued by MNOV would allow each AVGN stockholder at their election to either (i) convert each share of the convertible security into MNOV at a conversion price of $4.00 per share or (ii) have the convertible security redeemed for cash in an amount per share that represents the Net Cash Assets per share of AVGN. The redemption would occur on the later of March 31, 2010 or 12 months from the closing of the merger transaction. The letter from MNOV to AVGN is reproduced below:

Zola Horovitz, Ph.D.

Chairman of the Board

Avigen, Inc.

Dear Dr. Horovitz:

The purpose of this letter is to provide you with more details concerning the recent expression of interest MediciNova, Inc. (“MediciNova”) made to Avigen, Inc. (“Avigen”) with respect to a potential merger of the two companies in the letter to you dated December 9, 2008.

Our present thinking, based upon the information in publicly available documents and preliminary due diligence, is that we would offer as consideration a combination of registered MediciNova common stock and shares of a MediciNova convertible security for each share of Avigen common stock outstanding. In connection with the merger, Avigen would wind up all of its business activities, including satisfying all of its obligations by way of indebtedness, severance and related liabilities, while retaining all intellectual property assets for the combined companies.

MediciNova proposes that at closing each Avigen shareholder will receive a pro rata portion of 1.75 million shares of MediciNova common stock. In consideration for this, MediciNova will receive $7 million of Avigen cash.

The remaining amount of Avigen cash after Avigen’s wind-up activities are completed and less the $7 million in cash received by MediciNova (the “Net Cash Assets”) will be sequestered and, unless converted earlier as described in the next sentence, not used until the later of March 31, 2010 or 12 months from the closing of the merger transaction (the “Final Conversion Date”). The Net Cash Assets of Avigen will be attested by an independent auditor. The convertible security issued by MediciNova as consideration would allow each Avigen stockholder at their election to either (i) convert each share of such convertible security into shares of MediciNova common stock at a conversion price of $4.00 per share at certain pre-specified accelerated conversion dates or the Final Conversion Date or (ii) have the convertible security redeemed by MediciNova on the Final Conversion Date for cash in an amount per share which represents the Net Cash Assets per share of Avigen.

Based on this proposal, we note that the proposed transaction values each Avigen share at a substantial premium to both your recent stock price and the closing average market price of Avigen’s common stock since your October 21, 2008 announcement. Additionally, the convertible security allows each Avigen stockholder the choice of receiving cash in an amount not presently available to them, other than in a liquidation scenario, or participating in what we believe will be growth in value of the combined entity.

We continue to believe that a merger between MediciNova and Avigen would be in the best interests of the stockholders of both companies for many reasons, including the likely incremental increase in value of the Companies’ combined product candidates. We note that it also addresses the recent pressures Avigen has faced from its stockholder base.

Our proposal remains subject to the completion of customary due diligence, as well as the negotiation of definitive transaction agreements and the satisfaction of necessary approvals and customary conditions to closing of a transaction to be set forth in such agreements. While this letter, and our prior letter to you dated December 9, 2008, are not intended as a binding offer, we continue to stand ready to meet with you and your advisors immediately to discuss this matter.

Please be advised that, because of the past relationships among various of our respective directors, MediciNova has constituted a Special Committee of Directors to represent MediciNova with respect to the proposed business combination. That Special Committee consists of myself as Chair, along with Alan Dunton, Arlene Morris and Hideki Nagao from the MediciNova Board. Our Committee continues to believe this proposal represents a unique opportunity for Avigen’s stockholders and we look forward to a prompt and favorable reply.

Very truly yours,

Jeff Himawan, Ph.D.

Chairman of the Board of Directors

MNOV’s offer represents a clever way for AVGN’s stockholders to receive cash in an amount almost equivalent to what they would receive in a liquidation scenario less $7M paid to MNOV. This equates to approximately $1.22 per share in cash. AVGN’s shareholders also have the option to receive MNOV shares valued at $4.00 (MNOV closed yesterday at $1.60) instead of the cash. AVGN shareholders would also receive 1.75M shares of MNOV divided between 30M AVGN shares on issue.

The offer seems broadly positive to us. Our few quibbles are as follows:

  1. the $7M payment to MNOV seems excessive
  2. the MNOV conversion price of $4.00 is too high
  3. the redemption date – on the later of March 31, 2010 or 12 months from the closing of the merger transaction – is too far away.

If these could be negotiated to a more favorable position for AVGN, the MNOV offer should be welcomed by AVGN’s stockholders.

Hat tip to commenter KC.

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We posted yesterday that Avigen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGN) had announced the sale of its rights to an early-stage blood coagulation compound for $7M. We weren’t sure that the sale was for cash. According to this filing, the sale was for cash:

On December 17, 2008, Avigen, Inc. entered into an Asset Purchase Agreement with Baxter Healthcare Corporation, Baxter International Inc., and Baxter Healthcare S.A. (collectively “Baxter”), providing for the sale of the rights to Avigen’s early stage blood coagulation compound, AV513, to Baxter.

Avigen received a cash payment of $7.0 million from Baxter as proceeds from the sale of AV513. At September 30, 2008, Avigen reported cash, cash-equivalents, and available for sale securities and restricted investments of $56.4 million and an accumulated deficit of $244.9 million. Avigen reported no revenue for the first nine-months of 2008 and a net loss of $24.2 million. The Company is in the process of evaluating the terms of the transaction, but believe that if the transaction had been completed at the beginning of the 2008 fiscal year, the cash received would have been recorded as revenue and would have increased the amount of financial assets and decreased each of the net loss and the accumulated deficit reported at September 30, 2008 by $7.0 million. Avigen is unable to estimate the amount of any expenses that would have been avoided, if any, if the sale of AV513 had been completed at the beginning of the 2008 fiscal year. Other than these items, the transaction would not have had any other impact on Avigen’s financial statements.

We’ve been following AVGN (see earlier posts here, here and here) because it’s a net cash stock (i.e. it’s trading at less than the value of its cash after deducting all liabilities) and it has a specialist biotechnology activist fund Biotechnology Value Fund (BVF) pushing it to liquidate and return its cash to shareholders. In our initial post,we noted that AVGN’s net cash position was $36.5M. Adding the $7M or $0.24 per share to AVGN’s cash position gives it a net cash value we estimate at $43.5M or $1.46 per share against a close yesterday of $0.73.

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Avigen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGN) announced on Thursday that it had sold its rights to an early-stage blood coagulation compound for $7M. We have not been able to confirm that the sale was for cash. Assuming that it was, we estimate that it adds $0.24 per share to AVGN’s cash position and takes its net cash value to $1.46 per share, some 122% higher than its close Friday at $0.658.

We’ve been following AVGN (see earlier posts here and here) because it’s a net cash stock (i.e. it’s trading at less than the value of its cash after deducting all liabilities) and it has a specialist biotechnology activist fund Biotechnology Value Fund (BVF) pushing it to liquidate and return its cash to shareholders. In our initial post,we noted that AVGN’s net cash position was $36.5M. Assuming that the $7M sale was for cash, adding it to AVGN’s cash position gives it a net cash value we estimate at $43.5M or $1.46 per share, 122% higher than its Friday close.

If BVF is able to cause the company to quickly distribute its remaining cash to stockholders, AVGN is an attractive investment opportunity. The risk is that BVF is unable to persuade the company to do so before AVGN dissipates its remaining cash.

AVGN closed Friday at $0.658.

The S&P 500 Index closed Friday at 887.88.

[Disclosure: We do not presently have a holding in AVGN. This is neither a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. All information provided believed to be reliable and presented for information purposes only.]

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MathStar Inc (OTC:MATH) is another tiny net cash stock with a substantial stockholder lobbying management to liquidate the company. The stock closed yesterday at $0.68, giving it a market capitalization of just $6.2M. We estimate the liquidating value to be more than 120% higher at $14.4M or $1.57 per share. The value in liquidation is predominantly cash and short term investments in the amount of $14.8M. MATH has twice rejected unsolicited merger proposals. The board has largely suspended the company’s operations and is in the process of evaluating its “strategic alternatives, which could include merger, acquisition, increasing operations in another structure or liquidation.” Salvatore Muoio of S. Muoio & Co. LLC filed a Schedule 13D on December 15, 2008 urging MATH’s board to consider liquidation rather than a merger.

About MATH

MATH is a fabless semiconductor company engaged in the development, marketing and selling of high-performance, programmable platform chips and design tools required to program chips. The company’s investor relations website can be found here.

The value proposition

MATH has rapidly burned cash throughout the year, mainly on research and development. The company has now put a stop to its R&D activities, which has reduced the cash burn significantly from $6.6M in the June quarter to $1.6M in the September quarter. From the Business Overview section of the September 10Q:

During 2008, sales of our field programmable object array, or FPOA, did not materialize as expected, and development of the next generation of FPOA fell even further behind schedule. As a result, on May 20, 2008, the Board of Directors voted to suspend research and development activities and ongoing operations while analyzing strategic alternatives to protect the remaining value and increase the liquidity to the stockholders. The Board of Directors continues to explore these strategic alternatives, which could include merger, acquisition, increasing operations in another structure or liquidation.

Set out below is our summary analysis of the company’s balance sheet (the “Carrying” column shows the assets as they are carried in the financial statements, and the “Liquidating” column shows our estimate of the value of the assets in a liquidation):

math-summary

The company has a net cash position (i.e. cash remaining after paying out all liabilities) of $13.9M or $1.52 per share, which is around 120% higher than MATH’s closing price yesterday of $0.68.

The catalyst

This is one of the rare instances where management seems to have taken proactive steps to protect the company’s remaining value. The board also appears to be seeking a way to unlock that value through a merger, acquisition, increasing operations in another structure or liquidation. Salvatore Muoio of S. Muoio & Co. LLC annexed to his 13D filing the following letter setting out his preference for a liquidation over a merger:

December 12, 2008

Mr. Douglas M. Pihl
Chairman of the Board
MathStar, Inc.
19075 NW Tanabourne, Suite 200
Hillsboro, OR 97124

Dear Mr. Pihl,

Thank you for taking time out to speak with me today about MathStar’s history and current status.

To reiterate, and for the record, given the current business environment and the company’s assets and prospects, we strongly urge the Board to pursue a path of liquidation.

We have been investors in the securities of companies in liquidation for over 25 years and believe the process to be relatively straight-forward, in particular for companies as clean and litigation-free as MathStar.

As I mentioned, we don’t believe the current environment represents an attractive opportunity to merge with a speculative business in need of the company’s cash. We also don’t believe the incremental but uncertain future value of the company’s NOL in a merged entity offsets the hard cash equivalent value shareholders would receive in a liquidation in the current environment.

In addition, we would be particularly concerned if a transaction were to be announced where any appearance of a conflict of interest were present.

Sincerely,

Salvatore Muoio, C.F.A.
Managing Member

Conclusion

MATH is one of the best prospects we’ve run across recently. It is undervalued at $0.68, trading at 45% of its net cash of $1.52 per share. Management has already taken proactive steps to reduce its formerly significant cash burn rate and seems to be actively seeking a way to unlock the company’s value. We feel more comfortable that Salvatore Muoio is keeping an eye on management’s exploration of strategic alternatives and has expressed his strong preference for a liquidation. As always, the risk is that MATH is unable to unlock its value before dissipating its remaining cash but in this instance we believe that risk is low.

MATH closed yesterday at $0.68.

The S&P 500 Index closed yesterday at 913.18.

[Disclosure: We do not presently have a holding in MATH. This is neither a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. All information provided believed to be reliable and presented for information purposes only.]

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We posted about Avigen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGN) on December 1, 2008, noting that it was a rare opportunity because it was a net cash stock (i.e. it was trading at less than the value of its cash after deducting all liabilities). Since our initial post, AVGN has fallen from $0.65 to close yesterday at $0.54. At $0.54, AVGN has a market capitalization of $16.1M against a net cash position of $36.5M, some 127% higher.

Biotechnology Value Fund (BVF), who we noted in our earlier post had an active interest in AVGN, filed an updated 13D last week. In the new filing BVF says that it sent a letter to AVGN “expressing its displeasure with [AVGN]’s recent performance and continued destruction of shareholder value.” The letter is reproduced below:

Members of the Board:

As you know, Biotechnology Value Fund, L.P., together with its affiliates, is the largest shareholder of Avigen, Inc. (“Avigen” or the “Company”), holding an ownership stake of approximately 29% of Avigen’s outstanding common stock. We first became investors in Avigen in 2004 and have provided capital directly to the Company. We are writing to express our frustration with recent developments at Avigen, particularly with what we perceive to be this Board’s self-serving actions and disregard of shareholder interests.

Since January 1, 2004, Avigen’s stock price has fallen more than 90% and the Company has accumulated a deficit of more than $110 million. Presently, Avigen’s stock trades at less than 1/3 of its net per share cash value, indicative of the investment community’s conviction that Avigen’s Board will destroy its remaining value. We have repeatedly reached out to the Company and have offered to work collaboratively to maximize shareholder value. The Company responded to our offers by unilaterally increasing and broadening management’s “golden parachute” severance agreements and by unilaterally adopting a “poison pill.”

The Board’s increase and broadening of its “golden parachute” severance agreements with management, under the ridiculous justification that such payouts are necessary to “attract and retain key employees,” is particularly outrageous given Avigen’s current circumstances. Our analysis indicates that these payouts, which we believe would be triggered by most “change in control” scenarios, including a liquidation, total at least $3 million, an incredible 20% of the Company’s entire market value. The recipients of these golden parachute arrangements include Avigen’s CEO, Ken Chahine, who resides in Park City, Utah, while the Company is based in California. How can the Company justify such actions as necessary to “attract and retain key employees” when Avigen has no real business at this time and has abandoned the development of all its products? These hastily adopted severance arrangements need to be revoked.

In addition, we believe the Board’s implementation of the “poison pill” serves no purpose other than to keep BVF from purchasing additional stock in the Company. We are concerned that management and Board members are more concerned with retaining their jobs and compensation than with maximizing shareholder value. As evidence, Avigen’s stock price has fallen more than 20% since the adoption of the poison pill. We find the poison pill to be disrespectful and offensive, given our substantial ownership position and our long history with the Company. Nevertheless, our response was to offer a compromise proposal: modify the poison pill to allow anyone to acquire as much stock as they like, however, neutralize the voting power on all shares of Avigen stock above a specified threshold. We specifically offered to have any additional shares that we acquire to abstain from voting or to vote in proportion to all other outstanding shares. This offer was not accepted. The pill should be redeemed altogether.

The Board’s recent actions reveal its true self-interest and leave us concerned that Avigen will indeed destroy and/or take all remaining value. Consequently, our primary issue has been and remains that Avigen immediately guarantee the worst case outcome for all shareholders. This guarantee could be accomplished in several ways, including by dividending or otherwise distributing all excess cash to shareholders now, or by offering to buy back any and all shares from holders that wish to sell at a specific price at a specific future date (i.e., $1.25 per share in December, 2009). In both cases, shareholders could stand to reap potentially substantial upside derived from the monetization of Avigen’s remaining assets and could finally stop worrying about whether the Company will destroy its substantial cash value. To the extent the Board believes it can generate value in excess of its cash in the bank today, offering downside protection ultimately costs the Company nothing. However, by rejecting our proposal to provide a downside guarantee, the Board has indicated its willingness to place its remaining cash at continued risk, without shareholder consent.

As the Company’s largest shareholder, we are fighting to return value to all shareholders, not just ourselves, and we feel a responsibility to do so. To be clear, we do not seek to impose our own agenda on Avigen, we only ask that shareholders be empowered to decide the fate of the Company’s residual cash, rather than the management and Board of a company which has repeatedly tried and failed to create any shareholder value whatsoever. Shareholders have good reason to worry that Avigen’s management fully intends to put its remaining cash at risk. Yesterday, at the RBC Capital Markets Healthcare Conference, CEO Ken Chahine said, “We are going to be looking at building…How do we do that?…There are some opportunities as well that have emerged from the credit crisis. There are some commercialization, or near-commercialization, type companies that could use an infusion of cash…Those are some of the things we are looking at. Now, will that be in the therapeutic space? It could be…We’re opening it up because I think that there are opportunities outside of therapeutics…We will spend the balance of 2009 trying to look for opportunities.” Mr. Chahine, shareholders do not need or want you to invest their money.

If recent empirical evidence with respect to numerous other failed biotech companies is any guide (e.g., Corgentech, Renovis, Novacea, Nitromed, Nuvelo and others), the future does not bode well for Avigen shareholders if left to its own devices. In one similar situation, the company could have returned in excess of $10/share in cash to shareholders had it been liquidated in 2005. Instead, after opting for a value-destroying merger, that company today trades at a mere 0.09 cents per share – a 99% decline! Avigen’s golden parachutes have incentivized management to merge with any company that will take it. Management would walk away with its $3 million cash windfall; shareholders would get stuck with potentially worthless stock in a merged company. In the current fiscal environment, shareholders will no longer tolerate such self-interested behavior on the part of failed biotechnology companies.

We believe the Avigen Board is not only willing to sacrifice and squander shareholder money but, in the process, its members are making a mockery of their obligations to fulfill their fiduciary duties as directors of the Company. To that end, please be advised that we intend to hold each member of the Board and management fully accountable for any continued erosion of value from the current liquidation value of the Company.

Sincerely,

Mark Lampert

Conclusion

As we noted in our earlier post, while it’s frightening to see AVGN hemorrhaging cash, BVF is working to persuade it to salvage what remains of the company’s value. If BVF is able to cause the company to quickly distribute its remaining cash to stockholders, AVGN is an attractive investment opportunity. The risk is that BVF is unable to persuade the company to do so before AVGN dissipates its remaining cash.

AVGN closed yesterday at 0.54.

The S&P 500 Index closed yesterday at 868.57.

[Disclosure: We do not presently have a holding in AVGN. This is neither a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. All information provided believed to be reliable and presented for information purposes only.]

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