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Archive for November, 2009

The second method for boosting the performance of book value as a predictor of future investment returns is Joseph D. Piotroski’s elegant F_SCORE. Piotroski first discussed his F_SCORE in 2002 in Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers. In the paper, Piotroski examines whether the application of a simple accounting-based fundamental analysis strategy [...]

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Happy Thanksgiving, Folks

See you Monday.

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This week we’ve been examining the various studies that have considered book value as a predictor of future investment returns, and methods for “juicing” or improving its performance. Josef Lakonishok, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny’s landmark 1994 study Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk examined book value in the context of a larger investigation into the performance [...]

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Price-to-book value is demonstrably useful as a predictor of future investment returns. As we discussed yesterday in Testing the performance of price-to-book value, various studies, including Roger Ibbotson’s Decile Portfolios of the New York Stock Exchange, 1967 – 1984 (1986), Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler’s Further Evidence on Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality (1987), [...]

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This site is dedicated to undervalued asset situations, but I haven’t yet spent much time on undervalued asset situations other than liquidations and Graham net current asset value stocks. Two areas worthy of further study are low price-to-book value stocks and low price-to-tangible book value stocks. I’ve found that it is difficult to impossible to [...]

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Aspen Exploration Corporation (OTC:ASPN) took the unusual step several days ago of making a second announcement regarding the payment of a cash dividend of $0.73 per share to stockholders of record on November 16, 2009. The company initially announced that the dividend would be payable to stockholders of record on November 16, 2009, with the [...]

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Soapstone Networks Inc (NASDAQ:SOAP) has released its 10Q for the period ended September 30, 2009. We first looked at SOAP on February 2nd (see Greenbackd’s post archive here) because it was trading well below its net cash value. An activist investor, Mithras Capital, had disclosed an 8.7% holding and called on the company to liquidate. [...]

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One of my favorite macro indicators is the long-term Dow:gold ratio. Rolph Winkler of Reuters blog Contingent Capital did the heavy lifting last week to produce a chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average priced in gold per ounce since 1900: The Dow:gold ratio is not everyone’s cup of tea. Paul Kedorosky likens it to [...]

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The Economist has an article, High-speed slide, which discusses a recent study by Grant Thornton about the disappearance of the initial public offering (IPO) market in the U.S., and, in particular, the death of the small IPO. In the October 2009 study, Market structure is causing the IPO crisis, authors David Weild and Edward Kim [...]

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The Official Activist Investing Blog has published its list of activist investments for October: Ticker Company Investor ADPT Adaptec Inc. Steel Partners ARGL.OB Argyle Security, Inc. Mezzanine Management ASCMA Ascent Media GAMCO Investors ASPM Aspect Medical Systems Covidien plc BARE Bare Escentuals Sandler Capital Management BASI Bioanalytical Systems Inc Thomas Harenburg BLDR Builders FirstSource Inc. [...]

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